Analyzing an Acquisition Target: Kingfisher
Matthew is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network -- entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.
Acquisitions are one of the most exciting things that can happen to your stock portfolio. Often these events result in the acquired company seeing a double digit percentage gain overnight. While investors would be wise to avoid investments purely because they are the speculation of takeover chatter, there is nothing wrong with investing in good, well-run companies that have the added kicker of being the potential target of a larger peer or a private equity firm. For that reason, I would like to discuss the takeover prospects of UK company Kingfisher (LSE: KGF) (NASDAQOTH: KGFHY), Europe’s largest home improvement retailer, and the world’s third largest.
The King of Europe
While readers are likely very aware of The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) and Lowe’s (NYSE: LOW), the world’s No. 1 and No. 2 home improvement retailers, respectively, Eurasian heavyweight Kingfisher probably is not a household name in your neck of the woods. As mentioned above, UK-based Kingfisher is Europe's largest home improvement retailer. It operates its home improvement business under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, Koçtaş stores, as well as selling its own branded products inside of their stores. In the eight total Eurasian countries in which it operates, (the UK, Ireland, France, Spain, Poland, Turkey, Russia and China), Kingfisher has a total of 1,002 stores.
Although Europe had (and still has) a severe housing crisis of its own, Kingfisher’s new management set forth a plan in 2008 to deliver greater shareholder value. The plan included many of the same initiatives implemented by America’s home improvement giants: improving the customer service experience, creating more of an online shopping presence, streamlining the business to increase profit margins, and expanding their operations to new markets.
The results of that plan can be seen in the company's share price. Despite European uncertainty engulfing the whole continent, Kingfisher’s shares today have recovered completely from their 2008 lows.
International & Emerging Market Appeal
Even though Home Depot and Lowe’s operate internationally, Kingfisher is truly an international company. 64% of Kingfisher’s stores are located outside the United Kingdom, with 16.5% located in the emerging markets of Eastern Europe, Russia, and China.
And these numbers do not include Kingfisher’s equity interest in the German home improvement retailer Hornbach, with has 135 stores of its own located in the additional nine countries of Germany, Austria, the Czech Republic, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Romania, Slovakia, Sweden and Switzerland. Including Hornbach’s stores, Kingfisher's total store count becomes 1,137 in 17 total countries, with 81% located outside the UK and 15.75% located outside of Western Europe.
Back over in the United States, that level of exposure to the Eurasian continent (especially the emerging markets) may be piquing the interest ofHome Depot and Lowe’s (as well as private equity firms). Off and on for nearly 15 years, Kingfisher has been the rumored acquisition target of the world largest home improvement retailer, Home Depot (if not Lowe’s). Most recently, somewhat vague rumors in late 2011 suggested Home Depot and Lowe’s both making separate bids at Kingfisher’s entire European and Asian businesses.
The Possible Acquirers
The acquisition of Kingfisher would make sense for either of the US heavyweights.
Although Home Depot has a fair amount of stores internationally, it has a very small presence outside of North America -- which became even smaller last year, when Home Depot essentially ended its failed six-year Chinese expansion experiment. While Lowe’s technically has international operations, only a minuscule 1.87% of its 1,754 stores are located internationally (31 in Canada, two in Mexico). An acquisition by Home Depot would give it significant international exposure away from North America. An acquisition by Lowe’s would give that company actual international exposure it could certainly use.
Both companies could also easily handle the acquisition financially. Although Kingfisher is the world’s third largest home improvement retailer, its £6.6 billion ($10.3 billion) market capitalization is easily dwarfed by the $44 billion market cap of Lowe’s, and especially by Home Depot’s nearly $100 billion market cap.
Despite its potential to be easily acquired by its larger American peers, Kingfisher is not priced like a possible acquisition target. It's actually fairly cheap, trading at just 11.2 times trailing earnings and with a price to earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.5. This compares favorably to Home Depot’s 23.92 P/E and PEG of 1.36, as well as Lowe’s 19.13 P/E and its 1.41 PEG. Not only is Kingfisher being priced at a discount based on its past earnings, but the market is not giving Kingfisher credit for its superior growth potential.
The Bottom Line
That superior growth potential, regional diversification, and exposure to emerging markets in Asian and Eastern Europe that has made Kingfisher the potential acquisition target of its US peers. I would never buy shares of a company solely because I think another company might acquire it. But with its solid business operations, expansion into the Asian and Eastern European emerging markets, and a well-covered 3.5% dividend yield, Kingfisher is a good company to have on its own merits. And if nothing else, the potential for Kingfisher to be acquired can be thought of as just a nice added bonus.
WhichStocksWork owns shares of Kingfisher. The Motley Fool recommends Home Depot and Lowe's Companies. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is this post wrong? Click here. Think you can do better? Join us and write your own!