Tim Brugger

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  • McDonald’s and Commodity Prices: Poised for Another Run

    By Tim Brugger - June 12, 2012 | Tickers: JACK, MCD, WEN, YUM

    Sure they scoffed, and why not? About four months ago when the USDA suggested that wheat and corn prices would remain flat or drop in 2012, few believed it. Fewer still saw it for what it was – an opportunity for value in the soon-to-be beaten down fast food and casual dining industry. Potential growth – or lack thereof - in international markets played a big role then, just as it does now more »

  • Groupon, LinkedIn and the Facebook Effect

    By Tim Brugger - June 11, 2012 | Tickers: AMZN, FB, GOOG, GRPN, LNKD

    The mid to long-term concerns voiced by analysts and investors regarding the growth prospects for Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN) and LinkedIn (NYSE: LNKD) are legitimate. Any new(ish) internet growth company walks a road filled with potholes – that’s just reality. Some management teams are simply better at recognizing the bumps and are able to address them as they arise. Others? Not so much.

    As mentioned in my previous articles, Groupon more »

  • Don’t Buy the Nokia Sale Hype, Buy the Stock

    By Tim Brugger - June 11, 2012 | Tickers: FB, MSFT, NOK

    Rumors – gotta love ‘em. The latest in a relatively short line (so far at least) of recent scuttlebutt surrounding Lumia 900 smartphone maker Nokia (NYSE: NOK) was the “news” that Samsung was going to offer shareholders EUR4 a share to acquire the beleaguered company. That rumor took CEO Stephen Elop all of about 13 seconds to squash – and that was only because he was eating at the time and is more »

  • Oracle FINALLY Goes All In

    By Tim Brugger - June 6, 2012 | Tickers: AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, ORCL, CRM

    The article in February - the day Oracle announced the purchase of the online HR firm Taleo for $1.9 billion – didn’t necessarily emphasize the services Taleo brought to Oracle’s (NYSE: ORCL) suite of Cloud-related tools. The focus was more on the acquisition being a confirmation the company was getting serious about the Cloud marketplace as a viable revenue source. Today’s announcement of the $132 billion industry leader more »

  • Chesapeake’s Rise a Bet on Icahn

    By Tim Brugger - June 6, 2012 | Tickers: CHK, XEC, LINE | Editor's Choice

    If today’s price movement is any indication Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) shareholders are betting on billionaire investor Carl Icahn to save the beleaguered one-time industry bellwether. It’s no secret Carl plays hard ball, which is exactly what owners of Chesapeake need right now. But don’t buy the hyped momentum or the reputation.

    Why not bet on Mr. Icahn you ask? After all he has a long history more »

  • Forget the Recent Past, FedEx Will Deliver

    By Tim Brugger - June 6, 2012 | Tickers: FDX, UPS

    It wasn’t but a week or so back FedEx (NYSE: FDX) was flying high with a stock price over $90 a share and gas prices – always a concern for the air delivery leader – dropping to levels we haven’t seen for seven months. Then our friends across the pond started impacting global markets again and it seemed no one was immune – even a company as financially sound as FedEx more »

  • Groupon Loses the IPO Gamble: Is Facebook Next?

    By Tim Brugger - June 4, 2012 | Tickers: AMZN, FB, GOOG, GRPN

    What a weekend Andy (CEO Andrew Mason) and the management team at Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN) must have had. The release of an additional 600 million shares – as per the IPO specs – couldn’t have come at a worse time. The company was just starting to show signs of life after a decent Q1 earnings announcement in mid May. For an instant there it appeared investors were moving past the financial more »

  • A Gift for Dad this Father’s Day – Buy Ford NOW!

    By Tim Brugger - June 1, 2012 | Tickers: F, GM, HMC, TM, VLKAY

    For the momentum investor this will sound absurdly optimistic, but coming off the worst month for the markets since the Nixon administration (okay, that’s a bit of an exaggeration) – and then the recent disappointing economic numbers – investors should be absolutely ecstatic. It just doesn’t get much better than this.

    Case in point – the economy added 69,000 jobs last month – well below expectations, and the nation’s unemployment more »

  • Google: This is Almost too Easy

    By Tim Brugger - June 1, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, GOOG, LNKD, NFLX | Editor's Choice

    Okay already, the employment figures disappointed, Europe looks downright gloomy and both companies and countries seem to be fighting for a place in line to sue Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) for pretty much anything and everything. But trading in the high $560s to low $570s a share? Value investors wake up - if you’re not salivating already you should be – this is just too easy.

    Revenue from Everywhere

    What’s made more »

  • The Week that Was: Intel, Ford, Google and (ugh) Facebook

    By Tim Brugger - May 28, 2012 | Tickers: FB, F, GOOG, INTC

    Even with the Dow’s poor performance on Friday – and the week as a whole - all is not lost. Friday’s announcement of consumer confidence numbers should have been enough to leave investors cheering. The highly anticipated Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index rose to 79.3 – the highest level in over four and half years. That’s huge, particularly when you consider consumer confidence is what drives the U more »

  • Red Hat Earnings: Two Months Later

    By Tim Brugger - May 26, 2012 | Tickers: IBM, MSFT, ORCL, RHT | Editor's Choice

    It was about two months ago when the now $10 billion open source software provider Red Hat (NYSE: RHT) blew up – in a good way - for shareholders. The company had just released fiscal Q4 numbers and tech geeks everywhere were all aflutter. Revenue was up – again – and management guidance for the balance of 2012 and 2013 was unwavering.

    The Nerve!

    After the run-up of about 16% following the late March more »

  • Dell News is Great News for Intel Value Seekers

    By Tim Brugger - May 24, 2012 | Tickers: AMD, BRCM, DELL, HPQ, INTC, TXN

    Now look what you’ve done Dell. Wednesday’s earnings report was nothing if not distressing for Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) shareholders – the stock’s down nearly 17% since Wednesday. The residual impact is being felt by the PC market in general and most any and all tech companies associated with computers in particular. While Hewlett-Packard’s (NYSE: HPQ) earnings announcement wasn't as bad as expected - though hardly anything to more »

  • Incredibly, Facebook Actually Thought “Greed is Good” Still Applies

    By Tim Brugger - May 23, 2012 | Tickers: AOL, FB, GRPN, LNKD | Editor's Choice

    Even before the recent announcement of the lawsuits aimed Facebook’s (NASDAQ: FB) way as a result of the botched IPO, the happenings a week or two before the company went public should have been enough to keep investors on the sidelines – at least for a while.

    The Suits

    The “news” that Facebook is facing earnings pressure as more and more people log on using their mobile devices vs. that more »

  • Europe and China Got You Down? Ford Will Ease Your Pain

    By Tim Brugger - May 23, 2012 | Tickers: F, GM, HMC, TM

    Based on investor feedback and the sell off these past couple of weeks, it’s safe to say most everyone is disappointed. The domestic markets have essentially brushed aside a slew of positive economic data here at home to - once again - focus on China, Greece and Europe in general. ‘Tis a shame really - even the U.S. housing market is beginning a slow but steady turnaround, and that’s on more »

  • Hey Google! Isn’t it about Time to Share the Wealth?

    By Tim Brugger - May 21, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, GOOG, MSFT, MMI

    As always there’s a lot happening in the world of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG). At long last it appears our friends in the Far East have given the okay to the $12.5 billion Motorola Mobility Holdings (NYSE: MMI) deal – something U.S. and European regulators rubber stamped several months ago.

    And let’s not forget what is quickly becoming the norm - suing the company for any number of things more »

  • Got Some Time and a Strong Stomach? Try J.C. Penney on for Size

    By Tim Brugger - May 21, 2012 | Tickers: JCP, M, SKS, SHLD

    Though not a contrarian by nature –oversold but solid companies selling at a discount are generally much more attractive – J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) offers investors with gumption and an intriguing storyline. It’ll require some faith and patience, but all is not as dour as it appears. Of course shareholders are most certainly fuming that anyone could suggest such a thing with the stock beaten down as it is more »

  • The Week That Was: Home Depot, Groupon, Best Buy and Nokia

    By Tim Brugger - May 21, 2012 | Tickers: FB, GRPN, HD, NOK, SKS

    For many last week will always be about the much anticipated Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) IPO. And why not? If nothing else there was enough fanfare, speculation and opinions to last a lifetime. The consensus seems to be Facebook’s foray into the world of public ownership was a disappointment – though when it’s all said and done the only thing disappointing was the impact the IPO had on other companies more »

  • Dechiphering the Retail Industry

    By Tim Brugger - May 16, 2012 | Tickers: HD, JWN, SKS, TGT, WMT

    It’s no secret investing is hardly an exact science. Whether you’re new to the markets or run billions of dollars as a fund or portfolio manager – this ain’t easy. If there was ever an example of just how whacked the world of investing can be, the host of data on all things retail is it.

    A quick look at the headlines is about enough to make the more »

  • Groupon Investors’ Selective Memory Warranted

    By Tim Brugger - May 15, 2012 | Tickers: AMZN, GOOG, GRPN

    To think it was only a month and a half ago – give or take – when the most recent “accounting irregularities” rocked the collective world of Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN) shareholders. After what can only be called a stellar Q1, Groupon’s earlier woes seem to be long forgotten. And why not? Management was clueless, they got called on the SEC financial carpet, and it’s safe to say all should be more »

  • Analyst Rating Will Hurt Nokia in the Short Term

    By Tim Brugger - May 14, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, GOOG, MSFT, NOK

    It may turn out to be a couple (more) difficult days as Nokia kicks off the week’s trading. The stock is sure to see additional pressure as investors absorb the latest guesstimates from long-time Nokia (NYSE: NOK) analyst Andy Perkins – rated in the middle of the pack by StarMine for his earnings estimates – now that he’s jumped off the Lumia 900 wagon train. Mr. Perkins recently had this more »

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