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  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - September 14, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CAMP, CLGX, MAGS, NTE, PXD, PRXI, SVNT, VRNM

    The Big Wave Trading portfolio remains under a BUY signal, generated on August 3rd, as the market continues to move higher on well above average volume. On Thursday, for the first time during this rally, we saw the indexes, ETFs, leveraged ETFs, inverse ETFs, and leveraged inverse ETFs all move in the right direction on well above average volume. This is the confirmation we need to start to increase positions more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - September 8, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CAMP, CLGX, MAGS, NTE, PRXI, VRNM

    The Big Wave Trading portfolio remains under a BUY condition with strong confirmation of the original signal coming on Thursday when every single important stock market index we track broke out convincingly on enough volume to qualify the breakout as strong. The tight intraday action on Friday with a HOD close in the NYSE and SP500 confirm the move on Thursday.

    This strong move is coming on the back of more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - September 3, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CAMP, CLGX, MAGS, NTE, PHMD, PRXI, STX, VRNM

    The Big Wave Trading Portfolio remains under a BUY signal from 8/3/12, following the past week in the stock market. There was not much that went on this week that changed anything from the previous BWT Portfolio update. The only significant event this week occurred on Friday with Gold, Silver, and Platinum ripping higher following Ben Bernanke’s speech. A long position in GLD 150 calls two days more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - August 24, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CLGX, MAGS, PHMD, PRXI, STX, VRNM

    The Big Wave Trading Portfolio remains under a weak BUY signal, following a week of constructive price action in the overall market. We continue to keep positions relatively small as volume continues to be completely absent in the stock market right now. Traders are still on vacation and there has not been a single what we deem “perfect” or “near perfect” signal since the BUY signal has been triggered. We more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - August 17, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CLGX, MAGS, PHMD, PRXI, STX, VRNM

    The Big Wave Trading model switched to a BUY signal on Thursday. This signal was generated thanks basically to the performance of earnings winners, the Relative Strength of the Russell 2000, and a volume surge on the Nasdaq. There was no confirmation with volume in any other index or ETF.

    Sadly, overall, there continues to be a lack of any momentum in the market following a stock price breakout. The more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - August 11, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CAMP, CLGX, MAGS, PHMD, PRXI, STX

    The Big Wave Trading Portfolio remains under a NEUTRAL signal, despite the gains this past week. While the gains were decent, volume was completely absent. If the data from Telechart is correct, weekly volume for the NYSE was the lowest total for the year. My main three data providers always have different volume totals for the indexes so I average them out, usually.

    Even though volume is so low and more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - August 5, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, AXTI, BVSN, CAMP, CLGX, MAGS, PHMD, PRXI, STX

    This week marked a moment our model has not seen during a running six month period of time (this occurred in only four months, making it even more interesting), during the past 130 years. With the weak BUY signal in the Nasdaq switching to a SELL signal in the Russell 2000 on Thursday to a NEUTRAL signal on Friday, it marked 11 model switches to BUY or SELL in a more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - July 21, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CAMP, MAGS, PHMD, PRXI, ZLCS

     

    “Trading is a waiting game. You sit, you wait, and you make a lot of money all at once. Profits come in bunches. The trick when going sideways between home runs is not to lose too much in between.” -Michael Covel

    “I’ll keep reducing my trading size as long as I’m losing… My money management techniques are extremely conservative. I never risk anything approaching the total amount of more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - July 14, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CAMP, MAGS, PRXI, VRNM

    It was another summer-time trendless week, this past week, in the stock market. The decline on Tuesday switched our weak (10%) BUY signal to a NEUTRAL signal. The weakness that followed on Wednesday and Thursday was not enough to switch our model back to SELL as volume was below average and late day rallies took prices off their lows. On Friday stocks rallied but did so on the lowest volume more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - July 7, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, ANGI, BVSN, CAMP, MAGS, PHMD, VRNM

    Big Wave Trading remains under a weak BUY signal (10%) generated on June 29th. The past week was a very inactive week for us with only a few long signals generated (all on Monday). We continue to be in a trendless intermediate market period. From February 3rd to July 6th, the Nasdaq has moved a whopping 1%. From May 9th to July 6th, the Nasdaq has moved 0.09%. The more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - June 30, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, ANGI, BVSN, MAGS, PHMD, SNTA, VRNM

    It was an exciting end to what was a boring week. The weak SELL signal that our portfolio was under switched to a NEUTRAL signal on Friday morning with the Nasdaq gapping above the 50 day moving average. This automatically put us at NEUTRAL as the 50 day moving average was the fail safe area. In the final 30 minutes of trading the stock market indexes began to take off more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - June 17, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CAMP, LQDT, MAGS, MNST, PHMD, PRXI, SINO, VRNM

    “The less I cared about whether or not I was wrong, the clearer
    things became, making it much easier to move in and out of positions, cutting my losses short to make myself mentally available to take the next opportunity.” – Mark Douglas

    “Obviously you don’t want to overhaul a program in response to one year just because something didn’t work. That’s when you’re almost guaranteed that more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - June 9, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, LQDT, MAGS, MNST, PHMD, PRXI, SINO, VRNM

    The Big Wave Trading portfolios switched from a SELL to NEUTRAL signal intraday on 6/6/12 as the Nasdaq rose 1.5%+. The heavier volume selling was drying up before the switch and we warned that a switch was coming last week. That indeed was the case this week. If the next switch of the model is to SELL, this second confirming SELL signal (confirming because the most recent more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - June 3, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, ABR, BVSN, LQDT, MAGS, MNST, PHMD, PRXI, SINO, VRNM

    The Big Wave Trading portfolios remain under a SELL signal generated on 5/4/12. The current market environment continues to weaken as stocks among all sectors (even defensive–outside of gold) are breaking down. The BWT portfolios will continue to work the short side (long side with Gold) until a real uptrend returns. We do not expect an uptrend to return to the stock market until at least October more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - May 26, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, LQDT, MNST, PRXI, SINO, VRNM

    Every single disaster is due to traders not cutting their losses and letting them grow into huge losses. -Dennis Gartman

    “If you have an edge and if you keep making good bets as opposed to bet on chance over time you will come out ahead.” -Larry Hite

    The Big Wave Trading Portfolio remains under a SELL signal generated on 5/4/12. We expected that an oversold bounce was coming more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - May 19, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, FU, LQDT, MNST, PRXI, UVXY, SINO, VRNM

    “I did not for one moment consider abandoning my chief defensive weapon—the stop-loss order. No matter how well built your house is, you would not think of forgetting to insure it against fire.” -Nicolas Darvas

    “Remember, the market is designed to fool most of the people most of the time. Sometimes, the market will go contrary to what speculators have predicted. At these times, speculators must abandon their predictions more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - April 28, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CPWM, EPAM, LQDT, MNST, PRXI, SWHC, SUNH

    “When you are starting out, it is very important not to get too far behind because it is very difficult to fight back. Most traders have a tendency to take risks that are too large at the beginning” – Gary Bielfeldt

    “Professional traders manage their trading to assume that each trade may be a loser.” -Peter Brandt

    The Big Wave Trading Portfolio is currently under a BUY signal after having to more »

  • The Little Engine that Couldn't

    By Edgar Ambart - April 27, 2012 | Tickers: BBRY, BVSN, MSFT

    Imagine how boring our markets would be without volatility. How is volatility created? Earnings releases, fierce competition, accounting discrepancies, SEC filings, insider transactions, new products, FDA approvals, exaggerated claims, rumors, you get the idea. Surely without volatility buyers and sellers would hold on to their shares and liquidity would dry off fairly quick. However, sometimes press releases and exaggerated claims can get out of hand, hence companies with a small more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - April 21, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, BVSN, CPWM, EPAM, FU, LQDT, MNST, PRXI, SINO, SWHC, SUNH, ULTA

    “Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. ” The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking the first small loss. In so doing, he keeps his account in order so that at some future time, when he has a constructive idea, he will be in a position to go into another deal, taking on the same amount of stock as he had when he was more »

  • Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Holdings

    By Joshua Hayes - April 7, 2012 | Tickers: AVD, AAPL, BVSN, CMG, EPAM, LNKD, LQDT, KORS, PRXI, PCLN, RF, SWHC

    The Big Wave Trading market model went through a serious of changes this week turning from a full BUY signal to a cautious BUY signal to a NEUTRAL signal by Thursday. This NEUTRAL signal means that there is no statistical edge one way or the other as measured by all of our internal indicators. While under a NEUTRAL signal, BWT will only go long the highest quality leading stocks with more »

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