• 1 Stock to Own Before Ben Fires His Bazooka

    By Justin Carley - July 23, 2012 | Tickers: ABX, GG, KGC, GDX, GLD

    For now, Ben Bernanke is comfortable with saying that extra accommodation with be forthcoming IF necessary.  This muted rhetoric has kept gold prices contained to this point.  However, further action is looking more and more likely as the global economy spirals down.  Don’t be fooled by the perma-bull media, the economy is much worse than the soft-patches of 2010 and 2011.  It may not resemble the disaster of the more »

  • Will Europe Kill These 4 Dividend Paying Stocks?

    By Justin Carley - June 29, 2012 | Tickers: CLF, ENR, FCX, MCD

    Earlier this week I discussed some options that investors should consider buying to Euro-proof their portfolios.  Now I want to look at names that should be sold to Euro-proof one’s portfolio.  This weekend presents yet another EU Summit with the likely outcome a bunch of headline quotes, but no on-the-ground action to stem the sinking economic outlook in the region.  This dynamic should raise a red flag on equities more »

  • What’s so Surprising about Alcoa?

    By Tim Brugger - April 11, 2012 | Tickers: AA

    Let's begin with a quick trip down memory lane. It was late December of 2011 -- seems so long ago now, weird – that the winds of positive change started blowing Alcoa’s way. When that article was written the Dow component was trading at or near a two-year low of about $8.50 a share - a full $10 off their 52-week high. Ouch. They weren’t alone of course. Freeport more »

  • Do You Hate this Equity Rally?

    By Justin Carley - April 10, 2012 | Tickers: VALE, FCX, LVS, NVDA

    There is little doubt that this is one of the most hated equity rallies in U.S. stock market history.  According to the Investment Company Institute, net new fund flows to equities have been negative for ten consecutive months. (February being the latest month of available data)  In this short time frame, investors have pulled $169 billion out of equity mutual funds.  The S&P 500 rallied 20% during the more »

  • Two Buy and Hold Commodity Stocks

    By Justin Carley - March 9, 2012 | Tickers: APA, BBL, CLF, VALE, ECA | Editor's Choice

    Do you favor the long-term outlook for commodities, but feel that timing the cycles is futile?  Do you want to buy and hold a few stocks that are levered to commodity prices in the anticipation that they will outperform over the next decade?  For investors that are in such a situation, I have two stocks that merit attention today.  Not only that, but these two stocks are diversified and shouldn’t get crushed during bear market pullbacks.  Their volatility should be less than peers, albeit still higher than the average stock in the S&P 500. In a nutshell, these two stocks are great buy and hold candidates in the commodity space.

  • Gold in First Place

    By Justin Carley - January 13, 2012 | Tickers: FCX

    Gold just recorded its eleventh consecutive yearly gain.  As far as I know, it is the only asset class that can make that claim.  The metal remains in a clear secular bull and it almost always makes sense to be long asset classes in secular bulls.  Will gold record another yearly gain, or is this the year the streak gets snapped? 

    The Bull Case

    The continued bull case rests on more »

  • An Overlooked Core Holding?

    By Justin Carley - January 9, 2012 | Tickers: AA, BHP, VALE, FCX

    Yesterday, I detailed my disagreement with Barron’s recent recommendation that Alcoa (NYSE: AA) is poised to be a winner in 2012.  The main reason to steer clear is weak aluminum fundamentals that have ultimately led to subpar operating results. While I think investors should be cautious on commodity stocks in 2012, especially in the first half, those who want exposure to the space should look to a clear standout more »

  • Did Barron’s Make the Right Call on Alcoa?

    By Justin Carley - January 9, 2012 | Tickers: AA, MO, BHP, VALE

    Alcoa Inc. (NYSE:AA) reports quarterly earnings after hours today and the stock has a nice bid thanks to a positive write-up in Barron’s over the weekend.  Last week I disagreed in their critique of Altria Group (NYSE:MO) and again this week I take the other side.  Despite the fact that the Alcoa’s stock price first breached its current price in 1989, more than 22 years ago, I think the stock remains an underperformer for investors with longer time frames.  Given the cyclicality in the name, it could soar in any given year, but after all seesaws it likely won’t keep pace with the market over the coming decade.

  • Alcoa Will Be King in 2012

    By Tim Brugger - December 28, 2011 | Tickers: AA, VALE, FCX

    With every downward tick, Alcoa’s already positive outlook for 2012 just gets better and better. Unlike what some analysts have predicted, positive growth for Alcoa (NYSE: AA) is not dependent on a broad economic recovery. Would it help? Of course, but even slow growth will positively impact this overly sold industry stalwart. And that’s not all AA has going for it.

    With today’s drop, Alcoa’s $8 more »

  • 12 Stocks to Buy and Forget for 2012

    By Kirk Spano - December 27, 2011 | Tickers: APA, AMAT, BRK-B, DISH, EXAS, GE, GMO, KSS, MRK, MON, BTU, SPWR

    If you hold one stock in your portfolio, you carry 100% of the risk of losing all of your money.  As you diversify your holdings from one company to two to three, you are gradually reducing your risk of losing everything. We all know this. What most investors don’t know is that a 12 stock portfolio of domestic companies cuts your company specific risk about 90%.  There are some pretty strong arguments for owning these dozen stocks in your portfolio in 2012.

  • Themes From the New High List

    By David Talley - December 27, 2011 | Tickers: VALE, DECK, SI, SVU, KR

    The new high and new low lists serve as important places to gather information about which trends and spaces are working and which are not. Looking over today's new high list, two themes become abundantly clear: dividends and domestic.

    The list is dominated by high-yielding companies (nearly half of the companies yield more than 2.5%) and dividend payers in general (only a quarter of the companies on the more »

  • Steel Dynamics: The Perfect Example of a Solid Investment Strategy

    By Tim Brugger - December 27, 2011 | Tickers: MT, NUE, STLD, RIG, X

    The steel manufacturing industry has taken quite a beating in 2011. The European markets have been dismal and steel prices declined precipitously. Not a good combination to say the least. And industry stalwarts like U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) have taken it on the chin.

    However, things are changing for the better for a couple of reasons. First, the price of steel is up significantly in just the last month more »

  • A Tale of Two Miners

    By Patrick King - December 22, 2011 | Tickers: BVN, NEM

    Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE: NEM), primarily a gold mining company, is up 6% over the past year. Compania De Minas Buenaventura SA Buena (NYSE: BVN), primarily a gold mining company, is down 18% over the same period. Why the difference?

    It's not in the numbers. BVN earnings are growing twice as fast as NEM's, 30% to 15%. Both stocks are cheaply priced at a PEG of 0.5 more »

  • Eldorado Gold Gambles on Greece

    By Tony Daltorio - December 22, 2011 | Tickers: EGO, KGC

    Exploring for gold is a chancy enough venture. But Canada-based gold producer Eldorado Gold (NYSE: EGO) is taking an even bigger gamble.  

    The company is rolling the dice to see whether debt-stricken Greece can overcome its historic resistance to foreign-backed mining projects in the country. 

    Eldorado announced earlier this week it would buy a company called European Goldfields for $2.4 billion in Eldorado stock. European Goldfields has two major more »

  • Super Monkey Portfolio Addition: The Mosaic Company

    By Andrew Dillard - December 21, 2011 | Tickers: POT, MOS

    After I published the last article introducing the Super Monkey Portfolio, I received some great feedback that I felt perfectly articulated the purpose of the Super Monkey Portfolio.

    “I suppose one of the merits of the Super Monkey approach is that it causes an investor to look at stocks they otherwise might not have considered. It generates random stocks, not for purchase, but for consideration. So it removes any bias more »

  • Alcoa: Trading at a Discount?

    By Eric Lumsden - December 18, 2011 | Tickers: AA

    Alcoa (NYSE: AA) is one of the world’s largest producers of aluminum.  The aluminum industry is incredibly concentrated: in 2010 the largest three companies accounted for 47.2% of global aluminum output.  That’s an exclusive club Alcoa belongs to and right now, it may be attractively valued.

    The primary earnings driver for large aluminum producers is the global economy.  Alcoa’s largest markets were construction, transportation, and packaging more »

  • Stocks With Dividend Growth From Last Week December II/2011

    By DividendYields - December 18, 2011 | Tickers: AGU, DFS, IR, INGR, ANDE

    Companies that generate excess cash flows are more likely to maintain and increase their dividends. Not at all, if you look at dividends, you also have look at the dividend growth. If companies have a stable business and solid financials, they can consider an adequate increase in dividend payments. Good running dividend growth stocks raise dividends every 4 quarter by around 5-10 percent but better running stocks boost dividends. Last more »

  • DJIA Analysis-Alcoa Inc.

    By Nikhil Shamapant - December 13, 2011 | Tickers: AA, CENX

    Finding the Intrinsic Value of the Market

    In this investing series, I seek to find the intrinsic value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average through a brief fundamental analysis of each of the 30 companies included in the average, with the goal of deriving an intrinsic value for the market as a whole through a ‘sum of the parts’ analysis. I will also attempt to make recommendations on how to more »

  • Good Yields With Ex-Dividend Date Tomorrow 2011-12-16

    By DividendYields - December 13, 2011 | Tickers: HKTV, ELRC, GEF-B, HBAN, IRET, RPT, SCX

    Here is a current overview of high yield stocks (stocks with a dividend yield of more than 3 percent) that have their ex-dividend date tomorrow. If your broker settles your trade today, you will receive the next dividend. The ex-dividend date is a major date related to the payment of dividends. If you purchase a stock on its ex-dividend date or later, you will not receive the next dividend payment more »

  • U.S. Steel -- A Speculative Play for Two Reasons

    By Eric Lumsden - December 13, 2011 | Tickers: MT, NUE, X

    U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) has always been a volatile stock.  From 2006 to mid 2008, the stock tripled in value – only to give up all of those gains in the next 4 months.  Now the price is close to where it was in 2004 – listlessly drifting sideways.

    The fundamentals of the company have weakened significantly over the past few years.  Poor earnings over the last 2 years have eroded more »

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