A Discounted Medical Equipment Play
Matthew is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network -- entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.
When it comes to investing in the healthcare sector, there is lots of money to be made if investors choose wisely. Factors such as the current healthcare laws, which require a greater number of people to be insured, as well as an aging population should translate to higher spending on medical care over the next several years and beyond. My favorite way to play the sector over the long-term is through manufacturers of medical equipment, and although I like this business in general, one company that I think will do especially well is St. Jude Medical (NYSE: STJ).
What do they make?
St. Jude Medical makes a variety of medical devices having to do with cardiac management/surgery and pain management. Over the past decade or so, the company has experienced tremendous revenue growth with sales increasing almost every year, including the peak recession years of 2008-2010. Revenues dropped slightly last year due to a decreased demand for cardiac rhythm management products, but this trend is expected to reverse next year due to new, innovative products that are due to be released.
St. Jude’s business is reported in four segments, the largest being the CRM (cardiac rhythm management) segment, which accounts for 52% of the company’s sales and has been responsible for much of the revenue growth in recent years. Products made by this segment include implantable cardiac defibrillators, cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators, and pacemakers.
The Cardiovascular segment (24% of sales) produces vascular closure devices, compression assist devices, diagnostic imaging technology, replacement heart valves, and more. The AF (atrial fibrillation) segment (16% of sales) produces a variety of catheters that are used to treat abnormal heart rhythms. Finally, the Neuromodulation segment (8% of sales) produces implantable devices that deliver electric current to targeted nerve sites, as well as implantable drug infusion systems.
How are they going to grow?
As mentioned, demand for St. Jude’s products, particularly the CRM segment, has dropped recently all over the world. However, the company’s new products that it are set to release this year in the pacemaker and defibrillator segments are expected to make up for it. For example, the FDA recently approved St. Jude’s defibrillators with improved safety features, including extra insulation that prevents shorts. This should cause an influx of sales for St. Jude, even if the overall market for defibrillators is not very strong worldwide.
Additionally, the company has been very conscious about cutting costs recently. In the second half of 2012, the company cut 5% of their total work force, which management has said will result in between $50 and $60 million in cost savings this year.
Valuation and growth projections
Due to the uncertainty in global demand for their products, St. Jude trades at a pretty cheap P/E of just 12.4 times the current fiscal year’s earnings, well below the company’s recent historical average of 14. St. Jude is expecting to earn $3.69 per share this year, rising to $3.92 and $4.23 over the next two years as a result of cost savings and buybacks. If global demand does pick up significantly between now and then, it will be a bonus. Speaking of buybacks, St. Jude has one of the best buyback programs in the business and has reduced the total number of shares from 344.4 million in 2009 to 282.9 million currently, a reduction of almost 18% in just four years.
Alternatives: Becton Dickinson and Medtronic
Becton Dickinson (NYSE: BDX) manufactures a wide variety of medical supplies and devices for use by healthcare providers, researchers, and the general public. The vast diversity of their product line is a huge advantage over St. Jude. Additionally, demand for most of their products (such as syringes, surgical tools, and diagnostic equipment) is not as volatile as that of cardiac products like St. Jude’s.
On the other hand, Becton Dickinson is a much more expensive company at 17.5 times this year’s earnings, with a similar projected forward growth rate as St. Jude. The lower perceived risk does indeed warrant somewhat of a premium, but this is a pretty big difference.
Medtronic (NYSE: MDT) has a very similar product line to St. Jude and is similarly valued. In fact, Medtronic’s product lineup differs from St. Jude’s by the additional offerings of spinal products and diabetes products. However, with a slightly higher P/E of 13.8 times 2013’s earnings, I have to give the slight edge to St. Jude, which also pays a slightly higher (2.22% vs. 1.97%) dividend yield.
Although there is healthy demand for St. Jude’s products domestically, the overall market has softened for cardiac products internationally, particularly in Europe. However, I see this as a good opportunity to get into an industry leader at a significant discount, as the market for medical devices will only improve with the rising number of insured consumers and an aging population in the developed world.
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Matthew Frankel has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Becton Dickinson. The Motley Fool owns shares of Medtronic. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is this post wrong? Click here. Think you can do better? Join us and write your own!