Billionaire Steyer’s Farallon Is Selling Apple and Google
Meena is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network -- entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.
Farallon Capital Management, which is managed by billionaire Thomas Steyer and his team, engages in just about any investment strategy dependent on fundamental analysis: pure value, event driven, merger arbitrage, and so on. It had over $21 billion under management at the end of 2011, making it one of the largest hedge funds in the world. A portion of this capital is represented by the long equity positions reported on Farallon’s 13F six to seven weeks after the close of every quarter. Read on for our evaluation of some of the fund’s investment themes and compare its activity to previous filings.
Less tech, more travel.
While Farallon still owned Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) at the end of September, it sold shares of both stocks during the third quarter of the year: its Google holdings fell by about 10% and the fund sold about a third of its Apple shares. Among the stocks that it bought in their place was travel website Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN); the fund increased its stake to about 250,000 shares from about 140,000 three months earlier. These transactions took place before the pullbacks in both companies’ stock prices began in earnest in October; we think that this correction has created a great buying opportunity at Apple, which is now trading at only 12 times trailing earnings despite a strong brand and high growth rates. See our continuing updates on news regarding Apple. We’re less sure of Google, which has disappointed investors with its lack of progress in integrating its acquisition of Motorola Mobility Holdings. Its earnings multiples are considerably higher, and while we’d expect the company’s growth to resume the forward P/E multiple of 14 isn’t necessarily a steal. Priceline continues to turn in strong growth rates- earnings were 27% higher last quarter than a year earlier- though it too now has a minefield ahead of it with its potential acquisition of competitor Kayak. It carries trailing and forward P/Es of 24 and 17, respectively. We’ve seen it as a potential growth stock in the past, though we worry that it may be overpaying for Kayak and that the acquisition won’t create much shareholder value.
Nexen merger arbitrage.
Nexen (NYSE: NXY) was a new holding in Farallon’s portfolio, with Steyer and his team initiating a position of 8.7 million shares. In late July the oil and gas company, which is most notable for its position in the Alberta oil sands, became a takeover target with Chinese oil company CNOOC proposing an acquisition. The deal is controversial in Canada, and approval is not yet certain (the government has set December 10 for an announcement date, though this is after a delay). The stock had been trading between $16 and $17 before the offer, and is now a bit above $24. With CNOOC’s offer for $27.50 per share, this is a merger arbitrage play that investors still have a chance to participate in (read about why hedge funds like merger arbitrage opportunities). Of course, the reason the stock is trading at a discount to the offer price is because of the possibility that the deal will be rejected, so we plan to stay clear of it ourselves.
The fund’s position in Visa (NYSE: V) ticked up to 1.2 million shares from about 940,000 shares at the beginning of July. The credit card issuer has climbed 38% year to date, and its business is seeing strong improvement. According to the company’s 10-Q, revenue at Visa was up 15% in the third quarter compared to the same period in the previous year and net income nearly doubled. Investors expect strong growth at Visa, as it currently trades at 17x consensus earnings for the fiscal year ending in September 2014. We think Visa’s a great company but we wonder if it can continue to grow as rapidly as it has, and would note that other credit card companies such as Capital One and Discover are considerably cheaper.
We’re taking note of Farallon’s sale of Apple but we still think that the drop in the stock price has created a buying opportunity at the company. We are also skeptical of the buys that the fund has made instead, as Visa and Priceline look about fairly prices (and Visa at least has peers that look to be much better values) while the Nexen deal isn’t something that we’d be confident in putting our money behind.
This article is written by Matt Doiron and edited by Meena Krishnamsetty. Meena has long positions in Apple and Google. The Motley Fool owns shares of Apple, Google, and Priceline.com. Motley Fool newsletter services recommend Apple, Google, Priceline.com, and Visa. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.If you have questions about this post or the Fool’s blog network, click here for information.