Wal-Mart and Costco Are Like Apples and Oranges
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Some question the employment practices at Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and tie them to the company's troubles. Rick Ungar is a more vocal critic of Wal-Mart and blames Wal-Mart’s low sales growth on employment practices. Ungar from Forbes states:
In an identical economy, how do we explain Costco’s growth vis-à-vis the failures over at Walmart? Here’s a crazy thought—might it have something to do with the fact that Costco pays nearly all of its employees a decent living (well in excess of the minimum wage) while Wal-Mart continues to pay its workers as if their employees don’t actually need to eat more than once a week, live in an enclosed space and, on occasion, take their kids to see a doctor?
Business practices are the way they are because they have to be
Ungar dismisses the fact that Wal-Mart operates a much larger business with $469 billion in revenues for the trailing twelve months. Comparatively, Costco (NASDAQ: COST) reported $99.1 billion. It is almost always easier to grow sales in a smaller business organization than in a larger organization. Not to mention Wal-Mart’s primary growth strategy is to increase revenue by increasing the number of stores while maintaining an everyday low-price business model. This means that the company cannot afford to pay its employees a higher wage because the company’s goal is to provide customers with the lowest prices possible.
Over the past 20 years, Wal-Mart’s profit margin has been in the 3% to 3.85% range, with just 85 basis points of fluxuation. To put this into perspective, Wal-Mart’s profit margin is more stable than the Treasury market bond yield.
The company had to make some hard choices. First, it was able to effectively out-maneuver smaller grocers like Safeway (NYSE: SWY) and Kroger. Price-match guarantees paired with clean stores, and everyday low pricing kept it well ahead of its competition. The super-sized store concept made it possible for shoppers to buy all of their needs in one single location. This gave Wal-Mart greater economies of scale. The business is still effective at keeping customers coming to its store.
More stores better for shareholders
Bloomberg BusinessWeek states that the number of Wal-Mart employees dropped by 20,000 (1.3%), whereas the number of stores increased by 13%. Now let’s reason this logically. The store count has grown, but the number of employees has decreased, which is strictly from a financial accounting standpoint, a good thing. We can debate the size of lines and worker satisfaction. But it doesn’t change the fact that consumers are still willing to purchase products from Wal-Mart’s stores even if it is difficult to find products in the aisles.
Wal-Mart has decreased the size of its sales force and focused more on self-checkout lines. The company focused heavily on making the store as easy as possible to navigate and standardized the floor layout of every store. To be fair, Wal-Mart has adopted a non-sales selling approach. Many retail companies are adopting this philosophy as people hate pushy sales people. No one in Wal-Mart is selling or sampling products for that reason. The company is very intentional about providing one value, which is to save money and live better.
Is Costco better than Wal-Mart?
To be fair, you will find more Wal-Mart stores per square mile than Costco stores in the suburban environment. Wal-Mart can operate at lower economies of scale giving it a lower barrier of entry to operate in smaller markets. This is why you will see Wal-Mart open its doors in a town with a population of 10,000 people whereas Costco can only operate in cities that have a population that exceed 50,000 if not 100,000. The comparison of Costco and Wal-Mart in all probability is unfair. Investors have to address the strengths and weaknesses of each company separately rather than making an argument that sales growth is driven only by employee satisfaction (which is important). But in a world of scarce economic resources, trade-offs are made all the time. Companies the size of Wal-Mart have to make trade-offs with economic resources.
Analysts on a consensus basis anticipate Costco to grow earnings per share by 13.44% on average over the next five years. The company’s growth strategy is fairly solid, and revenue growth is projected at 6.9% for the full year.
Comparatively, Wal-Mart’s earnings are projected at 9.29% on average over the next five years.
Undervalued play in retail
Safeway had been getting spanked by Wal-Mart. But now Safeway has effectively moved itself away from everyday low pricing to luxury. The company has remodeled its stores to make the shopping experience more luxurious. You cannot compete directly with Wal-Mart on the basis of price. You can perhaps compete with Wal-Mart on convenience. But it is no more convenient to shop in a store the size of Safeway than it is to shop at a Wal-Mart. Therefore, Safeway took on a three-step process to growing earnings.
Safeway closed 46 stores. The company then remodeled or replaced 17 stores. The company then priced its products at a higher price in order to increase profitability. These measures turned Safeway around and allowed the company to grow earnings by 21% in fiscal year 2012.
Wal-Mart is still an effective retailer. While we may not necessarily agree with all of Wal-Mart’s retail practices and the negative effects it could potentially have on local communities, we have to remember that Wal-Mart is a company that only adheres to one principle, which is to sell products at everyday low prices. The company doesn’t extort its customers by cranking up profits as the company’s profit margins have remained the same for 20 years (3% to 3.85%).
Wal-Mart, Costco and Safeway operate on different business models, therefore, generate different rates of growth. No method is better than the other. Costco has customer service and better labor standards, but it has to operate at greater economies of scale. Wal-Mart offers product selection at the lowest possible price in as many markets as possible. Safeway is strictly focusing on convenience stores and building a luxury grocery chain (similar to Fry’s and Whole Foods Market).
I would still invest in Wal-Mart, Safeway and Costco. All three deserve to be a part of an investor’s portfolio.
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Alexander Cho has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Costco Wholesale. The Motley Fool owns shares of Costco Wholesale. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is this post wrong? Click here. Think you can do better? Join us and write your own!