Kyle Spencer

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  • Nokia Bulls Rampage While Bears Sharpen Claws

    By Kyle Spencer - December 11, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, NOK

    My, my. How the worm doth turn.

    So, on Sept. 5, I reported elsewhere that Wall St's pessimism was overdone, and that investors should hold their ground. On Oct 9, I upgraded Nokia (NYSE: NOK) to BUY, with a price target of $3.15. On Oct.12, I reiterated that position and tagged on a 12-month target of $4.15.

    Nokia, of course, took off a week later.

    Here more »

  • Nokia Re-Animated

    By Kyle Spencer - December 10, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, CMGE, NOK

    Henry Frankenstein: Look! It's moving. It's alive. It's alive... It's alive, it's moving, it's alive, it's alive, it's alive, it's alive, IT'S ALIVE!

    Victor Moritz: Henry - In the name of God!

    Henry Frankenstein: Oh, in the name of God! Now I know what it feels like to be God!

    (Frankenstein, 1931)

    Nokia (NYSE: NOK) is ALIVE. (Who'd-a-thunk-it?)  It's more »

  • General Mills: When Boring Is Beautiful

    By Kyle Spencer - December 4, 2012 | Tickers: GIS, KRFT

    The phrase "May you live in interesting times" is reputed to be one of the three principle Chinese curses heaped upon an enemy (The other two are: "May you come to the attention of powerful people" and, more ominously, "May you get what you wish for").

    After the the dot-com crash, 9/11, subprime mortgages, the Detroit bailout, TARP, the Great Recession, the Debt Ceiling fight, and the Fiscal Cliff more »

  • Target Hits the Bullseye

    By Kyle Spencer - December 1, 2012 | Tickers: JCP, TGT, WMT | Editor's Choice

    Black Friday kicked off the holiday spending season with a bang. Sales increased by 20.7% year-over-year, according to IBM analytics. The National Retail Federation Department reported that Black Friday sales grew by 16.8% year over year, while Home goods were up +28.2%, and Apparel sales were up +17.5%.

    If Grey Thursday and Cyber Monday are eating away at Black Friday like worms through a rotten apple more »

  • Should You Buy Into the Coal Supercycle?

    By Kyle Spencer - November 30, 2012 | Tickers: ARLP, JRCC, BTU

    Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) Chairman and CEO Gregory H. Boyce has been pitching the so-called “coal supercycle” for a few years now. The pitch is that coal will become the world's largest energy source any day now due to rising demand in China and India, and the cost of coal is just a fraction of global oil and liquefied natural gas. It's all related to more »

  • Qualcomm Crushes It in 2012

    By Kyle Spencer - November 29, 2012 | Tickers: INTC, QCOM

    Evaluating a company's Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) allows us to develop a detailed picture of company's resources and competitive position in the market. Today, we take a look at chip maker Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM), who's robust performance over the last three years has made it one of the most dominant names in Tech.

    Strengths

    OEM agnostic: Qualcomm chips are featured in iPhones, Galaxy IIIs, Nexus more »

  • Is the Era of Investment Banking Over?

    By Kyle Spencer - November 28, 2012 | Tickers: BCS, C, GS, JPM

    Let's wind the clock back 6 ½ years.

    The first thing you have to understand about 2006 is that Barclays (NYSE: BCS) owns everything. Your mortgage, the company you work for, your college tuition debt, your car note, everything. The air you're breathing is majority owned by Barclays.

    Angry about that overdraft fee that Bank of America slapped on your checking account, or the interest rate Citigroup charged more »

  • Alcoa Is on the Operating Table

    By Kyle Spencer - November 28, 2012 | Tickers: AA, BHP, RIO

    sym·bi·o·sis noun\ˌsim-bē-ˈō-səs, -ˌbī-\

    1 : the living together in more or less intimate association or close union of two dissimilar organisms (as in parasitism or commensalism); especially : mutualism

    2: a cooperative relationship (as between two persons or groups) <the symbiosis…between the resident population and the immigrants —>

    ~Merriam-Webster English Dictionary, 2012

    "The best thing that happens to us is when a great company gets into temporary trouble more »

  • And the Winner is...Healthcare!

    By Kyle Spencer - November 27, 2012 | Tickers: NVO, COO, WCRX

    There's an urban legend that when reporters asked bank robber Willie Sutton (a.k.a. "Willie the Actor" and "Slick Willie”) why he robbed banks, he replied: “Because that's where the money is.”

    This year, the money was in the Healthcare Industry. While Utilities fell 4.93% against the S&P500 and Materials fell 6.20%, the Heathcare sector topped the charts, beating the S&P by 25 more »

  • Yahoo Breakout: A SWOT Analysis

    By Kyle Spencer - November 27, 2012 | Tickers: AOL, FB, GS, GOOG, DIS, YHOO

    Evaluating a company's Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) allows us to develop a detailed picture of company's resources and competitive position in the market. Today, we take a look at the software giant Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO), a company that is currently in the process of re-imagining itself from the ground up.

    Strengths

    Marissa Mayer: Yahoo's most obvious strength is the sudden reversal of investor and employee more »

  • The Great Windows Freakout

    By Kyle Spencer - November 26, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, MSFT

    Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has little to celebrate this Christmas. Less than 10% of Microsoft's customer base has upgraded to the newest incarnation of Windows since its release in October. Analysts and Pundits alike are beginning to wonder if Redmond hasn't made an existential mistake.

    I'm talking, of course, about Windows Vista. But then, as ZDNet pointed out, I could be talking about every new Windows release since more »

  • Consumers Ride To Retailer's Rescue

    By Kyle Spencer - November 26, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, IBM, WMT

    You can take our Thanksgiving holiday when you pry it from our cold, unemployed fingers.

    That was the message anyway at over 100 Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) locations as employees walked out to protest the mega-retailer's encroachment on traditional American holidays. However, Round 1 goes to Wal-Mart, as consumers shook their heads, expressed solidarity, and then walked past the picket lines ready to shop and sign up for layaway plans more »

  • What if No One Is Flying the Plane?

    By Kyle Spencer - November 26, 2012 | Tickers: APO, XOM, MHFI, NKE

    One of my favorite scenes in Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom where the blond Missouri-bred song-bird (played by Steven Speilberg's future wife) drags a half-awake Indiana Jones to the cockpit, points to a pair of empty seats, and hollers at the top of her lungs:

    "No one. Is flying. The plane!"

    That's the scene that pops in my head when I hear the words: "fiscal cliff more »

  • The Year From Finance Hell

    By Kyle Spencer - November 26, 2012 | Tickers: BCS, C, GS, JPM

    Should Old Acquaintance be forgot, and never thought upon...”

    If anyone is singing the traditional Scotch ballad "Auld Lang Syne," it's the banking industry. 2012 marked a sordid turning point in the history of Financialization. One by one the Great Banking Houses stumbled into the regulator's loving arms. LIBOR. London Whale. Barclays. Standard Chartered. Muppets.

    This has been the year from Finance Hell.

    The Rise of the Banksters more »

  • Elvis has Officially Left the Building

    By Kyle Spencer - November 26, 2012 | Tickers: BBY, FB, HSC, PETM, ZNGA

    It was Dec. 15, 1956, and Elvis Presley was a star.

    Ten thousand kids jam packed the fairgrounds in Shreveport and screamed at the top of their lungs for the entire length of the Elvis' 45-minute show. The thunderous uproar was so loud, according to disc jockey Frank Page, that it was almost impossible to tell if Elvis was singing, or even if the band was still playing. After Elvis more »

  • When Meg Whitman Met the Tiger

    By Kyle Spencer - November 21, 2012 | Tickers: AOL, HPQ, MSFT, TWX | Editor's Choice

    Have you ever wondered why tigers have stripes? Tigers have stripes because many of the animals that tigers eat – deer, moose, water buffalo, antelope – are either completely color blind or can only see certain colors. An antelope, for example, might catch the scent of a carnivore in the air, but it won't be able to see it until it moves: a tiger's vertical stripes look like ordinary bands more »

  • Who Gets Hostess?

    By Kyle Spencer - November 20, 2012 | Tickers: FLO, K, MDLZ | Editor's Choice

    Goodbye, Wonder Bread®Goodbye, Twinkies®, Ding Dongs®, Ho Hos®, Suzy Q's®, CupCakes, Sno Balls ® and Mini Muffins®.

    Mighty Hostess has finally closed its doors.

    If there was ever proof that grand multinational Illuminati cabals do not exist  – that no one is secretly running the world behind the facade of democratically elected governments –  it would be the sudden implosion of Hostess Brands.

    <img src="/media/images/user_13882/hostessclosed_large.PNG" />

    Poor Twinkies®. The creme-filled more »

  • Is Apple on the Operating Table?

    By Kyle Spencer - November 19, 2012 | Tickers: AAPL, GOOG | Editor's Choice

    "The best thing that happens to us is when a great company gets into temporary trouble...We want to buy them when they're on the operating table." - Warren Buffett.

    Is Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) on the operating table? Good question. Anyone who's read Michael Woolf's recent piece in USA Today entitled "The Age of Apple May Be Over" could be easily forgiven for thinking that the Cupertino juggernaut more »

  • The Great Oil Rush of 2012

    By Kyle Spencer - November 16, 2012 | Tickers: XOM, KMP, MRO | Editor's Choice

    Wall St. Crash, Take 17.

    Lights, camera...action!

    Only months had passed since the collapse of Lehman Brothers before another bogeyman raised its head: Peak Oil. The world was running out of oil, and fast. Any day now we would be thrust into an apocalyptic Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome future where only bullets and beans would be truly reliable investments.

    This made-for-Hollywood conclusion was self-evident: There's only so much more »

  • Ignore the Sirens! Peak Fear is a Buying Opportunity

    By Kyle Spencer - November 13, 2012 | Tickers: KO, MCD, WEN | Editor's Choice

    The most difficult task that any investor faces is leaving emotion at the door. There's always the temptation to chase the herd, especially when it's stampeding for the exit signs in fear of the unknown.

    In retrospect, it should be obvious to every broker on Wall St. that fear invariably seeks a maximum level (“peak fear”) and that the optimum time to buy is when there are too more »

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